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Bird Flu Vaccine Supply Shrinks with News It Takes Double Dose to Work

Even then it only worked in half the participants - no seniors included

March 30, 2006 – The U.S. supply of vaccine to prevent bird flu (H5N1) just got cut at least in half by the report of a clinical trial that found it took two doses to achieve immunity, and that was only in about half the patients. This trial, incidentally, included no senior citizens – people over age 64 – who are considered most in danger should an avian flu pandemic strike.

 

Related Stories

 
 

U.S. Now Has 26 Million Avian Flu Antiviral Treatments to Fight Pandemic

Death toll at 27 in first three months of 2006, compared to 44 in all of 2005

March 23, 2006 - HHS Secretary Mike Leavitt yesterday announced additional purchases of six million antiviral drug treatments that could be used in the event of a potential influenza pandemic. With these purchases, the Strategic National Stockpile will have a total of 26 million treatment courses of antiviral drugs for distribution to the states when an influenza pandemic is deemed to be imminent. Deaths worldwide from the feared Avian Flu or Bird Flu have now reached 27 compared to 44 for all of last year, according to the World Health Organization. Read more...

Read more on FLU 2005-06

 

Results demonstrate that high doses of an experimental H5N1 avian influenza vaccine can induce immune responses in healthy adults. That's the good news.

Only about half of those volunteers who received an initial and a booster dose of the highest dosage of the vaccine tested in the trial developed levels of infection-fighting antibodies that current tests predict would neutralize the virus. That's the bad news.

The further bad news is that the dosage needed to accomplish immunity in half the people was 12 times higher than that needed for the annual seasonal flu shot.

Back to good news - the government and industry are working on other types of vaccine.

The National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), part of the National Institutes of Health, funded the study, published in the current issue of The New England Journal of Medicine. Preliminary results from this trial were first disclosed late last summer.

“These findings represent an important step forward in the nation’s efforts to prepare for the possible emergence of a human pandemic of H5N1 avian influenza,” notes NIH Director Elias A. Zerhouni, M.D., in putting a positive face on the results.

“We are working hard to address the many challenges that remain with regard to the development of an H5N1 vaccine,” adds NIAID Director Anthony S. Fauci, M.D.

 

Following are highlights from an editorial in the New England Journal of Medicine on this study.

 
 

Vaccines against Avian Influenza — A Race against Time

Gregory A. Poland, M.D.

Avian influenza A (H5N1) virus poses an important pandemic threat. A study by the Congressional Budget Office estimates that the consequences of a severe pandemic could, in the United States, include 200 million people infected, 90 million clinically ill, and 2 million dead.

The study estimates that 30 percent of all workers would become ill and 2.5 percent would die, with 30 percent of workers missing a mean of three weeks of work — resulting in a decrease in the gross domestic product of 5 percent.

Furthermore, 18 million to 45 million people would require outpatient care, and economic costs would total approximately $675 billion. As of March 10, 2006, the World Health Organization (WHO) had reported 176 confirmed human cases of influenza A (H5N1) across seven countries, with 97 deaths (a 55 percent mortality rate for identified cases).

● The virus is close to meeting the criteria for a pandemic virus — one that is new, can cause human illness, and can be transmitted from human to human — and the world is currently in phase three of the six WHO phases of alert for pandemic influenza (higher numbers represent greater seriousness).

● Influenza A (H5N1) is not yet pandemic because of a single factor: the inefficiency of human-to-human transmission. Once such transmission is efficient and sustained, even assuming that the current mortality rate of approximately 50 percent decreases, we will be in the midst of a serious pandemic.

● For this reason, maintaining the public health requires attempts to mitigate, avert, and treat infection with influenza A (H5N1) virus, and the key to meeting these goals is the development, testing, licensing, manufacturing, and stockpiling of vaccines.

●Safe and effective vaccines are likely to be the single most important public health tool for decreasing the morbidity, mortality, and economic effects of pandemic influenza — particularly in view of the reported resistance of influenza A (H5N1) to antiviral agents.

● Thus, the data reported in this issue of the Journal by Treanor et al. from their multicenter randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial of a subvirion influenza A (H5N1) vaccine are important and informative.

● Additional factors for which data are needed include differences in vaccine-induced immunity according to age, sex, immune status, and ethnic group. Some of these data could be derived from the results of Treanor et al. on further analysis.

 Age may be particularly important; those who have died in past pandemics and from influenza A (H5N1) infection are disproportionately children, adolescents, and young adults.

● The National Institutes of Health have funded studies of more than 30 candidate vaccines. Early results from some of these trials should be available in the next 6 to 12 months.

● Thirty years ago, the United States attempted to respond to the threat of pandemic influenza with a vaccine approach. Now, armed with a greater understanding of the science, we have the capacity and the responsibility to embark on multiple, parallel avenues of vaccine development.

In addition, we need efficient, rapid, high-yield, low-cost manufacturing innovations; the rapid generation of candidate vaccines for other, potentially pandemic influenza viruses (including emerging clade-2 influenza A [H5N1] viruses); and the rapid movement of those vaccines into clinical trials.

 In turn, this effort will require creativity along the entire pipeline: in the development and manufacture of candidate vaccines; the synchronization among countries of regulatory approaches; the resolution of issues concerning liability and intellectual property; ensuring the efficiency of clinical trials; and the use of methods to stockpile and rapidly deploy these vaccines.

To do otherwise, with the pandemic clock ticking, could prove to be too little, too late.

 

“For example, potentially protective immune responses were seen most frequently at the highest dose of this vaccine. We are investigating other options that may allow us to reduce the dosage — for example, adding an immune booster, or adjuvant, to the vaccine — so we can achieve a more practical immunization strategy,” he said.

In addition, the agency said, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services is pursuing other approaches to an H5N1 vaccine, including vaccines made in cell cultures rather than grown in eggs.

The researchers in this study specifically concluded: "A two-dose regimen of 90 mcg of subvirion influenza A (H5N1) vaccine does not cause severe side effects and, in the majority of recipients, generates neutralizing antibody responses typically associated with protection against influenza. A conventional subvirion H5 influenza vaccine may be effective in preventing influenza A (H5N1) disease in humans.

This bird flu vaccine was based on a virus strain that killed a Vietnamese man in 2004.

H5N1 avian influenza viruses are of enormous concern to public health officials worldwide. The potential for a human avian flu pandemic looms large, say experts, as daily reports indicate an increasing spread of infection in bird populations in Southeast Asia, Europe, the Middle East and Africa.

According to the World Health Organization, as of March 24, 2006, 186 people had been infected with avian flu viruses, and more than half of them had died.

Generally, flu viruses are easily transmitted from person to person, but so far, the H5N1 avian influenza viruses have not demonstrated this characteristic. In the worst-case scenario, if an avian flu virus became easily transmissible from person to person, it could trigger an influenza pandemic because humans have no pre-existing immunity to these viruses.

The trial, conducted between March and July 2005, was carried out at three NIAID-supported Vaccine and Treatment Evaluation Units located at the University of Rochester Medical Center in Rochester, NY; the University of Maryland School of Medicine Center for Vaccine Development in Baltimore; and the Los Angeles Biomedical Research Institute at Harbor–University of California Los Angeles Medical Center. John Treanor, M.D., of the University of Rochester, led the group.

The study was conducted in two stages. In the first stage, the research team enrolled 118 healthy adults ages 18 to 64 years old. Although none of these participants were senior citizens, other trials in progress do include people 65 and older, these researchers say.

Each participant was assigned at random to one of five groups. Volunteers in each group received an initial dose of vaccine (7.5 micrograms [mcg], 15 mcg, 45 mcg or 90 mcg) or saline placebo into the upper arm muscle; about one month later, they received a booster shot of the same vaccine dosage or the placebo. The research team collected blood samples before each vaccination and one month after the second vaccination.

Before the study could be expanded, an independent Data and Safety Monitoring Board assessed the vaccine’s safety by reviewing data collected through day 7 after the second vaccination; no safety concerns were found.

The investigators then began stage two of the study, eventually enrolling an additional 333 healthy adult volunteers into the trial according to the same protocol design as in stage one.

The NEJM article describes an analysis of data on the safety and immune responses to the vaccine.

In general, the higher the dosage of vaccine, the greater the antibody response produced. Of the 99 people evaluated in the 90-mcg, high-dose group, 54 percent achieved a neutralizing antibody response to the vaccine at serum dilutions of 1:40 or greater, whereas only 22 percent of the 100 people evaluated who received the 15-mcg dose developed a similar response to the vaccine.

Generally, all dosages of the vaccine appeared to be well tolerated:

  ● Almost all reported side effects were mild

  ● The second dose of vaccine did not cause more local or systemic symptoms than the first

  ● Systemic complaints of fever, malaise, muscle aches, headaches and nausea occurred with the same frequency in all dosage groups as in the placebo group

  ● Lab tests did not reveal any clinically significant abnormalities

The Voice of American reported that because the necessary dosage is so high, it would be difficult to produce in quantity for a significant portion of the world's population using conventional methods. 

So, VOA reports, researchers are turning their attention to ways to stretch the vaccine using adjuvants, substances designed to boost the immune system's response. If a study of 1,200 people across the United States shows that adjuvants enhance this vaccine, each person might be able to get one dose instead of two, making it available for more people.

But Dr. Fauci points out that, unlike seasonal influenza, most people have never had bird flu, so they don't have leftover immunity from the previous year, needing only a single booster to deal with a new variant strain. He says everyone might need the higher number of doses of a bird flu vaccine, just as an infant does the first time it gets a seasonal flu shot.

"It's hard to tell," he added.  "It's going to depend on the response or how lucky we get with the adjuvants. It might require two, because it's truly a primary immunization as opposed to the secondary immunizations that we do with seasonal flu. We're going to assume we need two, but hopefully we can get away with one if the adjuvants work well."

Work is also under way on a vaccine based on a second bird flu strain that has already begun to kill people.

About this study:

The vaccine, made from an inactivated H5N1 virus isolated in Southeast Asia in 2004, was manufactured by sanofi pasteur, Swiftwater, PA, under contract to NIAID. Because there are no manufacturers licensed in the United States to use adjuvants in inactivated influenza vaccines, NIAID’s first step was to test an H5N1 influenza vaccine made in a way that mimics the process used to make conventional flu vaccines. The clinical data collected in this study are now available to support the potential use of this vaccine should it be needed for an emerging pandemic.

NIAID is a component of the National Institutes of Health. NIAID supports basic and applied research to prevent, diagnose and treat infectious diseases such as HIV/AIDS and other sexually transmitted infections, influenza, tuberculosis, malaria and illness from potential agents of bioterrorism. NIAID also supports research on transplantation and immune-related illnesses, including autoimmune disorders, asthma and allergies.

The National Institutes of Health (NIH) — The Nation's Medical Research Agency — includes 27 Institutes and Centers and is a component of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. It is the primary federal agency for conducting and supporting basic, clinical and translational medical research, and it investigates the causes, treatments, and cures for both common and rare diseases. For more information about NIH and its programs, visit http://www.nih.gov.

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