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Senior Citizen Longevity & Statistics

Rich White Men Doing the Best in Fight to Extend Longevity in U.S.

For poor, women and minorities the picture not so rosy

April 22, 2008 - Life expectancy in the U.S. is on a continual increase, at least for financially comfortable white men. For the poor, women and minorities the picture is not so rosy, according a research published in PloS Medicine. Overall life expectancy in the U.S. increased more than seven years for men and more than six years for women between 1960 and 2000. Over the same four decades, however, this report finds the gains not reaching many parts of the country; rather, the life expectancy of a significant segment of the population is actually declining or at best stagnating.

 

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This new, long-term study of mortality trends in U.S. counties is by researchers at the Harvard School of Public Health (HSPH) and the University of Washington found that 4% of the male population and 19% of the female population experienced either decline or stagnation in mortality beginning in the 1980s.

For an earlier report on this study published in March, see sidebar.

“There has always been a view in U.S. health policy that inequalities are more tolerable as long as everyone’s health is improving. There is now evidence that there are large parts of the population in the United States whose health has been getting worse for about two decades,” said Majid Ezzati, Associate Professor of International Health at HSPH and lead author of the study.

The majority of the counties that had the worst downward swings in life expectancy were in the Deep South, along the Mississippi River, and in Appalachia, extending into the southern portion of the Midwest and into Texas.

The researchers analyzed mortality data from the National Center for Health Statistics and population data from the U.S. Census Bureau between 1959 and 2001. The study is the first to look at mortality trends in the U.S. by county over such a long period of time. (County data is the smallest measurable unit for which mortality data is available.) The National Center for Health Statistics stopped providing data after 2001.

The results showed that, between 1961 and 1999, average life expectancy in the U.S. increased from 66.9 to 74.1 years for men and from 73.5 to 79.6 for women.

Looking at individual counties, however, the researchers found that beginning in the 1980s, the best-off counties continued to improve but there was a stagnation or worsening of life expectancy in the worst-off counties--what the researchers refer to as “the reversal of fortunes.”

As a result, while men in the best-off counties lived 9.0 years longer than those in the worst-off counties in 1983, by 1999 that gap had increased to 11.0 years; for women the 1983 life expectancy gap of 6.7 years increased to 7.5 years by 1999.

Over the past few decades, life expectancy in high-income countries around the world has gradually risen, with few exceptions.

Given the consistent trend of declining mortality rates in high-income countries, the results of this study, which show large segments of the American population experiencing stagnating or worsening health conditions, are particularly troubling.

Ezzati said, “The finding that 4% of the male population and 19% of the female population experienced either decline or stagnation in mortality is a major public health concern.”

Christopher Murray, Director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington and co-author of the study, added that “life expectancy decline is something that has traditionally been considered a sign that the health and social systems have failed, as has been the case in parts of Africa and Eastern Europe. The fact that is happening to a large number of Americans should be a sign that the U.S. health system needs serious rethinking.”

The researchers also analyzed data on deaths from different diseases and showed that the stagnation and worsening mortality was primarily a result of an increase in diabetes, cancers and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, combined with a slowdown or halt in improvements in cardiovascular mortality. An increase in HIV/AIDS and homicides also played a role for men, but not for women.

The diseases that are responsible for this troubling trend seem to be most related to smoking, high blood pressure, and obesity.

“Smoking and blood pressure have a long history of being controlled through both personal and population strategies. There is good evidence on relatively low-cost and effective ways of dealing with these issues if one of the health system’s imperatives becomes to close this widening life expectancy gap,” said Ezzati.

This research was supported by a cooperative agreement, awarded by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Association of Schools of Public Health

The study appears in the April 22, 2008, edition of the open-access journal PLoS Medicine and is freely. (Click Here)

Source:

The Reversal of Fortunes: Trends in County Mortality and Cross-County Mortality Disparities in the United States
By Ezzati M, Friedman AB, Kulkarni SC, Murray CJL
PLoS Medicine Vol. 5, No. 4, e66 doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0050066

   Report on Study by KaiserNetwork.org with links to more coverage

Life Expectancy Declines in Some U.S. Populations, Primarily Those in Deep South, Appalachia, Study Finds

 

Daily Reports

KaiserNetwork.org

 

April 22, 2008 - Although life expectancy has been increasing in the U.S. for most people, there is a growing disparity in mortality depending on race, income and geography, according to a study published on Monday in the online journal PLoS Medicine, the New York Times reports. For the study, lead author Majid Ezzati, an associate professor of international health at Harvard University, and colleagues analyzed life expectancy in all 3,141 U.S. counties from 1961 to 1999, the latest year for which data were available (Bakalar, New York Times, 4/22). The data were taken from the National Center for Health Statistics and the U.S. Census Bureau (AP/Long Island Newsday, 4/21).

Findings

The study found that for the nation as a whole, life expectancy increased by seven years among men and by six years among women (Russell, San Francisco Chronicle, 4/22). Life expectancy from 1961 to 1999 increased from 66.9 years to 74.1 years for men, and from 73.5 years to 79.6 years for women (Brown, Washington Post, 4/22).

However, the study found that in the last two decades of the millennium, 19% of women and 4% of men in the U.S. saw either no change or a decline in life expectancy (Kornblum, USA Today, 4/22). Researchers found that life expectancy for women declined by an average of 1.3 years from 1983 to 1999 in 180 counties, while men's life expectancy decline by 1.3 years in 11 counties (AP/Long Island Newsday, 4/21). According to the study, "The majority of these counties were in the Deep South, along the Mississippi River and in Appalachia, extending into the southern portion of the Midwest and into Texas" (Fox, Reuters/Boston Globe, 4/22).

When comparing the 2.5% of counties with the lowest life expectancies and the 2.5% of counties with the highest life expectancies, the difference in life expectancy was 11 years for men and 7.5 years for women in 1999, compared with nine years for men and 6.7 years for women in 1983 (New York Times, 4/22).

Causes

Ezzati said that race and poverty account for some of the disparity, but not all of it (USA Today, 4/22). According to the study, "Female mortality increased in a large number of counties, primarily because of chronic diseases related to smoking, overweight and obesity, and high blood pressure" (Reuters/Boston Globe, 4/22). Obesity-related illnesses, such as adult-onset diabetes and hypertension, also contributed to increases in male and female mortality. HIV/AIDS and homicide were significant factors in male life expectancy declines (San Francisco Chronicle, 4/22).

Researchers said that they do not believe access to health care led to all of the declines in life expectancy. Study co-author Christopher Murray, director of the University of Washington Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, said, "Even if everyone were insured, we'd still be seeing most of the pattern that we're seeing here" (Francis, Wall Street Journal, 4/22). The researchers said that race appears to be less of a factor than income in the disparity (Russell, San Francisco Chronicle, 4/22).

Comments

"What's driving the disparity is the worsening of the worst off," Ezzati said, adding, "In the U.S., there has always been a view, stated or unstated, that we can live with some inequality if everyone is getting better. This is the first sign that not everyone is getting better" (New York Times, 4/22). Ezzati said he hopes the study will be a catalyst to some "pretty serious discussion at the national, state and arguably county level" about how to combat disparities.

James Marks of the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation said, "These counties may be the canary in the coal mine [indicating] the deterioration in the U.S. health standings relative to the rest of the world" (USA Today, 4/22).

Murray said, "I think this is a harbinger. This is not going to be isolated to this set of counties, is my guess" (Washington Post, 4/22).

 

"Reprinted with permission from kaisernetwork.org You can view the entire Kaiser Daily Health Policy Report, search the archives, and sign up for email delivery at www.kaisernetwork.org/dailyreports/healthpolicy. The Kaiser Daily Health Policy Report is published for kaisernetwork.org, a free service of The Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation. © 2006 Advisory Board Company and Kaiser Family Foundation. All rights reserved.”

 

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