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Chronic Disability in Senior Citizens Greatly Overestimated

Dec. 13, 2005 - The rates of chronic disability in older Americans has been substantially overestimated by about forty percent, researchers at Yale School of Medicine report in the December 12 Archives of Internal Medicine.

 

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"Our projections yielded about two million fewer chronically disabled older Americans in 1999, relative to the published estimate of seven million," said Thomas M. Gill, M.D., who co-authored the study with Evelyne A. Gahbauer, M.D.

Gill, associate professor of medicine/geriatrics, obtained his findings using data from the "Yale PEP Study," which seeks to better understand how older persons manage day-to-day activities and remain independent at home.

Titled "Epidemiology of Disability and Recovery in Older Persons," the PEP study includes 754 participants age 70 or older from the Greater New Haven area. Over the last eight years, participants have shared their experiences during a series of home assessments and monthly telephone interviews focusing on essential activities of daily living, such as bathing, dressing and walking.

The National Institute on Aging last month awarded Gill a $3.2 million MERIT award for outstanding research to continue his "PEP" study to better understand how older persons manage day-to-day activities and remain independent at home.

Patients in this study were classified as having chronic disability based on the presence of disability during consecutive monthly interviews immediately before or after the fourth comprehensive assessment.

Of the 552 participants, 16.1 to 17.2 percent met criteria for chronic disability, leading to a national estimate ranging from 4.9 to 5.3 million chronically disabled older Americans.

Gill said accurate estimates of chronic disability are important for a variety of reasons. From a policy perspective, these estimates are often used to inform decisions regarding the current and future health care needs of older persons and to forecast the likely demand for long-term care. From an epidemiologic perspective, the causes of chronic disability, including pre-disposing risk factors and subsequent precipitants, may differ from those of short-term disability.

"From a personal perspective, the likelihood of recovery is considerably lower for chronic disability than for short-term disability; and chronic disability likely confers a higher risk of subsequent morbidity and mortality," said Gill.

"Given the dynamic nature of disability, new strategies are needed to adequately capture the true burden of chronic disability among elderly persons."

Other results from PEP

In the PEP study, over the last eight years, participants have shared their experiences during a series of home interviews and monthly telephone interviews focusing on essential activities of daily living, such as bathing, dressing and walking.

Based on this information, Gill and his team, have written many articles for leading medical journals." Through this effort, older New Haven residents are helping the whole country," said Gill.

The findings to date reveal that disability often begins after a serious illness or injury and changes may appear after a hospital stay or even after a few days in bed.

Gill has also found that many older people recover from these disabling episodes and resume their usual activities. He said regular exercise helps with the recovery of independence. In addition, four out of 10 participants experience chronic pain; older persons use a number of different strategies to reduce the level of their pain.

"Our results have provided strong evidence to support the idea that disability is a reversible and often recurrent event," said Gill. "PEP addresses an important problem in the lives of many older Americans and their families. By better understanding disability, we hope to develop new ways to maintain and restore independence among older persons."

In granting MERIT awards, the NIH identifies researchers "whose research productivity and accomplishments are distinctly superior and who are highly likely to continue to perform in an outstanding manner."

Gill's research team includes Theodore R. Holford, Susan Dwight Bliss Professor of Public Health; Heather Allore, associate research scientist, Zhenchao Guo, M.D. and Ling Han, M.D., biostatisticians; Evelyne Gahbauer, M.D., senior data manager, Denise Shepard, project coordinators and Joanne McGloin, project director.

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