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Kidney Failure Rates Dip, Numbers Growing With Older Population

Age 75 up group now 26% of total, troubling racial disparities persist

Oct. 11, 2005 - After 20 years of annual increases from 5 to 10 percent, rates for new cases of kidney failure have stabilized, according to new research from the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (NIDDK) of the National Institutes of Health. The numbers of the oldest population, however, continue to climb and dramatic racial disparities persist.

In 2003, the rate for new cases of kidney failure was 338 per million population. This is down slightly from 2002 and continuing a four-year trend, finally allowing researchers to be cautiously optimistic that rate decreases have not happened by chance. The incident rate for those 65 to 74, however, was 1,435 and for those 75 and over the rate was 1,687.

Incident rates of reported ESRD      
per million population, by age group    
Age: 0-19 20-44 45-64 65-74 75+ All
2003 14.3 115.3 605.9 1,435.3 1,686.8 337.6
2002 14.5 116.8 607.4 1,457.5 1,693.2 339.9
2001 14.2 117.6 612.7 1,413.0 1,553.2 331.5
2000 14.3 118.8 605.1 1,390.6 1,545.2 328.9
1999 14.7 120.0 612.7 1,376.3 1,507.6 327.7
1998 13.2 120.5 605.0 1,349.3 1,398.0 317.5
1997 13.5 117.5 581.7 1,311.2 1,287.0 304.9
1996 14.4 120.9 566.9 1,252.1 1,177.6 294.3
1995 14.4 119.1 548.8 1,142.2 1,038.3 276.9
1994 13.9 119.8 546.3 1,144.9 1,000.8 275.5
1993 14.1 118.1 510.9 1,066.2 903.1 258.3
1992 14.2 117.4 489.4 1,019.2 864.0 249.4

The average annual increase has been less than 1 percent since 1999, compared to an average 5 percent in the previous decade, according to research published recently by NIDDK’s U.S. Renal Data System (USRDS) at www.usrds.org and being presented next month at the annual scientific meeting of the American Society of Nephrology.

Diabetes and high blood pressure remain the leading causes of kidney failure, accounting for 44 percent and 28 percent of all new cases, respectively. The most striking trends were found in diabetes, where rates for new cases in whites under age 40 were the lowest since the late 1980’s, in stark contrast to rates for their African American counterparts, which have not budged.

In the last four years the USRDS has noted a continued growth in the number of treated patients, but a slowing of the incident rates. More than 100,000 new patients began therapy for ESRD in 2003 (2 percent greater than in 2002), while the prevalent dialysis population reached nearly 325,000 (3.8 percent higher), and the prevalent transplant population grew to nearly 130,000 (5.6 percent higher). Both prevalent populations have doubled since 1988, while the number of incident patients has grown 150 percent.

Incident counts of reported ESRD: all patients

 
Age: 0-19 20-44 45-64 65-74 75+ All
2003 1,337 13,172 37,167 24,599 26,292 102,567
2002 1,293 13,175 35,564 24,765 25,828 100,625
2001 1,254 13,163 34,446 24,122 23,295 96,280
2000 1,239 13,267 33,103 23,733 22,624 93,966
1999 1,248 13,241 32,159 23,326 21,585 91,559
1998 1,125 13,212 30,496 22,854 19,432 87,119
1997 1,124 12,734 28,297 22,231 17,816 82,202
1996 1,183 12,979 26,666 21,305 15,727 77,860
1995 1,165 12,614 25,110 19,337 13,561 71,787
1994 1,097 12,546 24,405 19,163 12,751 69,962
1993 1,093 12,150 22,288 17,625 11,335 64,491
1992 1,059 11,919 20,941 16,820 10,577 61,316
% Ch 92-03 26.3% 10.5% 77.5% 46.2% 148.6%