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Alzheimer's, Dementia & Mental Health

Five Million Senior Citizens With Alzheimer’s, 10 Million Baby Boomers to Join Them

New report by Alzheimer’s Association says disease to hit 1 of 8 boomers

March 18, 2008 – While many of the diseases that strike senior citizens are declining, the most feared – Alzheimer’s Disease – is increasing at an accelerating rate, according to the latest report on the disease released today by the Alzheimer’s Association. About five million elderly have the disease now, the organization says, but it projects 10 million Baby Boomers will join these dreaded ranks in the U.S.

Today, as many as 5.2 million Americans are living with Alzheimer’s disease, which includes between 200,000-500,000 people under age 65 with young-onset Alzheimer’s disease or other dementias, according to the 2008 Alzheimer’s Disease Facts and Figures.

 

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Read the latest news on Alzheimer's, Dementia & Mental Health

 

The new report says the disease is poised to strike one out of eight baby boomers. According to the Alzheimer’s Association, now is the time to address this looming epidemic that currently has no effective disease-modifying treatments that halt or delay the progression of the disease.

Experts predict by 2010, there will be almost a half million new cases of Alzheimer’s disease each year; and by 2050, there will be almost a million new cases each year.

The Association’s report details the escalation of Alzheimer’s disease, which now is the seventh-leading cause of death in the country and the fifth-leading cause of death for those over age 65.

It also offers numerous statistics that convey the burden Alzheimer’s imposes on individuals, families, government, business, and the nation’s health and long-term care systems.

 

Looking to the Future

The number of Americans surviving into their 80s and 90s is expected to grow because of advances in medicine, medical technology and social and environmental conditions. Since the incidence and prevalence of Alzheimer’s disease and dementia increase with age, the number of people with these conditions will also grow rapidly.

 • In 2000, there were an estimated 411,000 new cases of Alzheimer’s disease. That number is expected to increase to 454,000 new cases a year by 2010, 615,000 new cases a year by 2030, and 959,000 new cases a year by 2050.

 • The number of people age 65 and over with Alzheimer’s disease is estimated to reach 7.7 million in 2030, a greater than 50 percent increase from the 5 million age 65 and over who are currently affected.

 • By 2050, the number of individuals age 65 and over with Alzheimer’s could range from 11 million to 16 million unless science finds a way to prevent or effectively treat the disease. By that date, more than 60 percent of people with Alzheimer’s disease will be age 85 or older.

 

For example:

  ● Every 71 seconds, someone in America develops Alzheimer’s disease; by mid-century someone will develop Alzheimer’s every 33 seconds.

  ● Women are nearly twice as likely as men to develop Alzheimer’s disease (17 percent vs. 9 percent). One in six women and one in ten men age 55 and older can expect to develop Alzheimer’s disease in their remaining lifetime.

  ● Although it may appear that being female is a risk factor, more women will develop Alzheimer’s because on average, women live longer than men, thereby having more time to develop the disease.

  ● In 2007, there were nearly 10 million Americans age 18 and over providing 8.4 billion hours of unpaid care to people with Alzheimer’s disease valued at $89 billion, four times more than what Medicaid pays for nursing home care for people with Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias.

  ● In addition, a quarter million American children age 8 to 18 years old are providing care to loved ones with Alzheimer’s.

  ● There are 1 to 1.4 million “long-distance caregivers” in the United States. About 1 million live more than two hours or more away and another 400,000 live at least an hour away from their loved ones.  Many of these long-distance caregivers also incur higher caregiving-related expenses compared to other caregivers.

  ● Seventy percent of people with Alzheimer’s and other dementias live at home where friends and family take care of them.

“The information in the 2008 Alzheimer’s Disease Facts and Figures makes it clear the Alzheimer crisis cannot be ignored – not when 10 million baby boomers are at risk for developing this fatal disease,” says Harry Johns, President and CEO of the Alzheimer’s Association.

“Unchecked, this disease will impose staggering consequences on families, the economy and the nation’s health and long-term care infrastructure.”

According to the latest statistics from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, from 2000-2005 death rates have declined for most major diseases – heart disease (-8.6 percent), breast cancer (-.8 percent), prostate cancer (-4.9 percent) and stroke (-14.4 percent), while Alzheimer’s disease deaths continue to trend upward, increasing 45 percent during that period.

“We have the opportunity to change the trajectory of this disease now. Today’s scientific landscape is rich with possible disease-modifying treatments – but the shrinking investment in Alzheimer research threatens these breakthroughs,” Johns said.

“There is real hope for a better future where Alzheimer’s is no longer a death sentence but how fast we get there depends on how much we are willing to invest today,” added Johns.

Medicare currently spends more than three times as much for people with Alzheimer’s and other dementias than for the average Medicare beneficiary. In 2005, Medicare spent $91 billion on beneficiaries with Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias and is projected to spend $160 billion by 2010 and $189 billion by 2015.

In 2005, state and federal Medicaid spending for nursing home and home care for people with Alzheimer’s and other dementias was estimated at $21 billion and is projected to increase to $24 billion in 2010 and $27 billion in 2015.

Change by State

Alaska and Colorado lead the states in the percentage increase in AD projected between the years 2000 and 2010.

The new report  highlights the impact that Alzheimer’s has on states with more than 6 in 10 (62%) having double digit growth in prevalence of Alzheimer’s disease by the end of the decade. In addition, unpaid caregivers of people with Alzheimer’s and other dementias provided care valued at more than $1 billion in each of 31 states, while unpaid caregivers in California, Florida, New York and Texas provided care valued at more than $4 billion per state.

>> 2008 Alzheimer’s Disease Facts and Figures (43 pages)

>> Alzheimer’s Association Home Page

States Ranked by Alphabet (See rank by change below)

Number of People Age 65+ With Alzheimer’s Disease and Percent Change Between 2000 and 2010,

by State

State

2000

2010

% Ch.

Alabama

84,000

91,000

8

Alaska

3,400

5,000

47

Arizona

78,000

97,000

24

Arkansas

56,000

60,000

7

California

440,000

480,000

9

Colorado

49,000

72,000

47

Connecticut

68,000

70,000

3

Delaware

12,000

14,000

17

District of Columbia

10,000

9,100

-9

Florida

360,000

450,000

25

Georgia

110,000

120,000

9

Hawaii

23,000

27,000

17

Idaho

19,000

26,000

37

Illinois

210,000

210,000

0

Indiana

100,000

120,000

20

Iowa

65,000

69,000

6

Kansas

50,000

53,000

6

Kentucky

74,000

80,000

8

Louisiana

73,000

83,000

14

Maine

25,000

25,000

0

Maryland

78,000

86,000

10

Massachusetts

120,000

120,000

0

Michigan

170,000

180,000

6

Minnesota

88,000

94,000

7

Mississippi

51,000

53,000

4

Missouri

110,000

110,000

0

Montana

16,000

21,000

31

Nebraska

33,000

37,000

12

Nevada

21,000

29,000

38

New Hampshire

19,000

22,000

16

New Jersey

150,000

150,000

0

New Mexico

27,000

31,000

15

New York

330,000

320,000

-3

North Carolina

130,000

170,000

31

North Dakota

16,000

18,000

13

Ohio

200,000

230,000

15

Oklahoma

62,000

74,000

19

Oregon

57,000

76,000

33

Pennsylvania

280,000

280,000

0

Rhode Island

24,000

24,000

0

South Carolina